Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.063129 0.071379 0.079907 0.089353 0.099492 0.110020 0.121749
2025-03-09 0.046249 0.057753 0.070372 0.085102 0.101691 0.119669 0.140500
2025-03-16 0.034814 0.047842 0.062942 0.081403 0.103044 0.127312 0.156290
2025-03-23 0.029772 0.044316 0.061943 0.084276 0.111244 0.142233 0.180015
2025-03-30 0.025512 0.041002 0.060574 0.086176 0.117896 0.155103 0.201253
2025-04-06 0.022860 0.039314 0.060866 0.089816 0.126436 0.170093 0.224968
2025-04-13 0.019155 0.035656 0.058171 0.089311 0.129585 0.178421 0.240656
2025-04-20 0.018143 0.035665 0.060243 0.094890 0.140336 0.196037 0.267624
2025-04-27 0.014925 0.031945 0.056842 0.092938 0.141263 0.201395 0.279603
2025-05-04 0.013643 0.031060 0.057307 0.096098 0.148749 0.214921 0.301655
2025-05-11 0.011525 0.028506 0.055108 0.095399 0.151025 0.221798 0.315442
2025-05-18 0.010569 0.027805 0.055582 0.098383 0.158178 0.234893 0.337049
2025-05-25 0.009548 0.026991 0.056019 0.101614 0.166138 0.249673 0.361671
2025-06-01 0.007374 0.023635 0.052206 0.098505 0.165384 0.253204 0.372200
2025-06-08 0.005498 0.020415 0.048262 0.094913 0.163750 0.255451 0.381032
2025-06-15 0.004943 0.019947 0.048895 0.098242 0.171854 0.270632 0.406624
2025-06-22 0.004295 0.019115 0.048800 0.100391 0.178269 0.283596 0.429430
2025-06-29 0.003954 0.018970 0.049904 0.104423 0.187426 0.300312 0.457241
2025-07-06 0.003149 0.017380 0.048204 0.103872 0.189867 0.307933 0.473173
2025-07-13 0.003112 0.017956 0.050610 0.110018 0.202188 0.329085 0.507036
2025-07-20 0.002327 0.016038 0.048038 0.107870 0.202185 0.333354 0.518618
2025-07-27 0.002105 0.015851 0.048853 0.111348 0.210573 0.349203 0.545630
2025-08-03 0.001615 0.014518 0.047209 0.110579 0.212527 0.356136 0.560791